The price of gold is volatile; it goes up and down according to how investors feel. For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy website.
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Unfortunately, this overly simplistic view of the correlation does not hold in all cases. Periods of financial stress can cause the U. This is usually because traders will buy both gold and the U. For short-term traders, a classic way to try to profit from the frequent trends in gold is to use a moving average crossover strategy.
In this strategy, a trader would look to buy gold if a shorter-term moving average crossed above a longer-term moving average and sell when the shorter-term moving average crosses below the longer-term average. Historically, these settings have allowed traders to successfully trade the middle portion of a trend, though there is no guarantee of future performance. The chart below shows how this strategy could be applied in the gold market:.
At point 1, the shorter-term hour moving average crosses below the longer-term period average, suggesting that traders should enter a sell trade as a bearish trend may be forming.
At point 2, the initial sell trade is closed for a solid gain and a new buy trade is triggered as the trend shifts back to the topside. Like any methodology though, this strategy will produce losing trades as well.
In this case, the big spike near point 4 caused the sell trade from 3 to be stopped out for a loss. The chart below shows the relationship between gold prices and the yield on TIPS, a proxy for real interest rates in the United States.
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